# Against conditionalization

@article{Bacchus2004AgainstC, title={Against conditionalization}, author={Fahiem Bacchus and Henry E. Kyburg and Mariam Thalos}, journal={Synthese}, year={2004}, volume={85}, pages={475-506} }

Bayesian epistemology is marked by a scruple for compliance with the probability axioms. One cornerstone of Bayesian epistemology is the doctrine of personalism, the view according to which an agent's beliefs are not the mechanical result of conditionalizing a logical probability over her total history of observational experience. Another cornerstone of Bayesian epistemology is the teaching that since personalism is true, epistemic injunctions must be issued to rational agents to procure their… Expand

#### 17 Citations

Objective Bayesianism, Bayesian conditionalisation and voluntarism

- Philosophy, Computer Science
- Synthese
- 2009

The main task of this paper is to show that this objection backfires: the difference between the two forms of updating reflects negatively on Bayesian conditionalisation rather than on objective Bayesian updating. Expand

The Basic Dutch Book Argument for Probabilism 1 . 1 The Probability Axioms and the Dutch Book Theorem

- 2012

The Dutch Book argument (DBA) for probabilism (namely the view that an agent’s degrees of belief should satisfy the axioms of probability) traces to Ramsey’s work in “Truth and Probability”. He… Expand

On background: using two-argument chance

- Mathematics, Computer Science
- Synthese
- 2007

Writing the objective probability of q given r as P(q, r), it is argued that r may be chosen to provide less than a complete and exact description of the world’s history or of its state at any time. Expand

Structured Deliberation for Dynamic Uncertain Inference

- Computer Science
- 2002

The method presented here may be reconciled with Bayesian belief models by noting that the latter lack a consensus view of how stable beliefs form in the first place, and so complementary rather than antagonistic to subjective probability methods. Expand

Triviality Pursuit

- 2011

The thesis that probabilities of conditionals are conditional probabilities has putatively been refuted many times by so-called ‘triviality results’, although it has also enjoyed a number of… Expand

Normative theories of argumentation: are some norms better than others?

- Mathematics, Computer Science
- Synthese
- 2012

It is concluded that it is both possible and desirable to invoke norms for rational argument, and that a Bayesian approach provides solid normative principles with which to do so. Expand

Bayesian Informal Logic and

- 2002

The theory of probability is at bottom nothing more than good sense reduced to a calculus. Abstract. Bayesian reasoning has been applied formally to statistical inference, machine learning and… Expand

Modelling uncertain inference

- Philosophy, Computer Science
- Synthese
- 2011

It is argued that an alternative version of Bayesian theory, proposed by both de Finetti and Ramsey, is less vulnerable to Kyburg’s misgivings and is both more natural and avoids other, widely-made objections to Bayesianism. Expand

Beyond linear conciliation

- Computer Science
- Synthese
- 2020

This paper aims to show that one may save the Conciliatory View by conciliating with nonlinear functions and suggest epistemologists develop a more fine-grained taxonomy for cases of disagreement with a deliberate categorisation of different kinds of disagreement. Expand

A Material Theory of Induction

- Computer Science
- 2003

It is argued that there are no universal inductive inference schemas and that a material theory no longer separates the factual and schematic parts of an induction, it proves not to be vulnerable to Hume’s problem of the justification of induction. Expand

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